Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.351434 0.416506 0.489114 0.575967 0.676866 0.790209 0.926998
2025-02-02 0.282006 0.374194 0.487890 0.637659 0.828904 1.064001 1.373864
2025-02-09 0.231007 0.333328 0.469169 0.661082 0.923305 1.266846 1.748358
2025-02-16 0.186909 0.289723 0.435021 0.652719 0.967378 1.401767 2.041899
2025-02-23 0.150783 0.249364 0.396727 0.629382 0.982767 1.493474 2.279539
2025-03-02 0.121912 0.214147 0.359375 0.599945 0.982232 1.558035 2.479580
2025-03-09 0.109485 0.202665 0.356124 0.621029 1.058503 1.740900 2.869517
2025-03-16 0.091569 0.178735 0.328935 0.599135 1.062748 1.811352 3.090082
2025-03-23 0.082564 0.168939 0.323851 0.612817 1.125466 1.978467 3.476728
2025-03-30 0.074529 0.159555 0.317986 0.623869 1.183914 2.142418 3.870474
2025-04-06 0.065466 0.146655 0.303821 0.617810 1.210870 2.254374 4.184284
2025-04-13 0.057950 0.135628 0.291609 0.613580 1.239975 2.371379 4.514757
2025-04-20 0.053868 0.131520 0.293044 0.637037 1.325389 2.599939 5.069899
2025-04-27 0.054256 0.137362 0.315514 0.705136 1.503598 3.013275 5.995184
2025-05-04 0.050685 0.133574 0.317255 0.730848 1.600782 3.283438 6.676398
2025-05-11 0.044764 0.123193 0.303297 0.721674 1.626381 3.418998 7.113433
2025-05-18 0.038490 0.110782 0.283007 0.696068 1.614867 3.480528 7.411342
2025-05-25 0.032681 0.098445 0.261046 0.663758 1.585217 3.502474 7.631523
2025-06-01 0.030830 0.096322 0.263120 0.686900 1.678477 3.781632 8.389636
2025-06-08 0.026672 0.087016 0.246177 0.662868 1.663697 3.834554 8.687003
2025-06-15 0.024911 0.084259 0.245407 0.677887 1.739236 4.084027 9.411672
2025-06-22 0.023176 0.081260 0.243583 0.690018 1.809064 4.326252 10.137831
2025-06-29 0.020843 0.075962 0.234836 0.683367 1.833296 4.469832 10.660830